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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Railcar Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Railcar Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Railcar Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

Technologies & Software

  • Web browser software
  • Job costing software
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Quicken
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Buildots AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • VirtualBoss
  • Procore AI
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Estimating software
  • Framing squares
  • Power drills
  • Power saws
  • Hard hats
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Mini pry bars
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Hammers
  • Pettibones
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Impact wrenches
  • Drum sanders
  • Water levels
  • Brad tackers
  • Plumb bobs
  • Cordless drills
  • Baluster jigs
  • Power sanders
  • Mortise jigs
  • Respirators
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Cat's paws
  • Pry bars
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Power staple guns
  • Belt sanders
  • Disc grinders
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Handheld calculators
  • Planes
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Theodolites
  • Truck cranes
  • Saw guides
  • Protractors
  • Layout bars
  • Moisture meters
  • Rotary hammers
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Transit levels
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Nail guns
  • Bullseye levels
  • Air compressors
  • A-frame levels
  • Morticers
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Snips
  • Portable routers
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Wood files
  • Power routers
  • Table saws
  • Electric planers
  • Torpedo levels
  • Compound miter saws
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Hammer staplers
  • Auger bits
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Push sticks
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Hand saws
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Magnetized levels
  • Extension ladders
  • Utility knives
  • Measuring tapes
  • Shapers
  • Bubble levels
  • Ladder levelers
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Plunge routers
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Spirit levels
  • Ladders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Band saws
  • Ladder jacks
  • Hand planers
  • Personal computers
  • Bandsaws
  • Digital levels
  • Rabbet planes
  • Draw chisels
  • Beam saws
  • Sledgehammers
  • Rulers
  • Right triangles
  • Circular saws
  • Squares
  • Notebook computers
  • Framing hammers
  • Wood chisels
  • Radial arm saws
  • Trim routers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Carpentry transits
  • Work boots
  • Caulking guns
  • Pencil compasses
  • Marking gauges
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Templates
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Joiners
  • Level jigs
  • Calipers
  • Pump jacks
  • Laser levels
  • Dado blades
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Combination squares
  • Lock levels
  • Plumb lines
  • Power generators
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Miter saws
  • Screw jacks
  • Drill presses

Alternative Job Titles