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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Railcar Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Railcar Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Railcar Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

Technologies & Software

  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Microsoft Word
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Buildots AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • VirtualBoss
  • Job costing software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Procore AI
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Web browser software
  • Estimating software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Quicken
  • Portable routers
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Power sanders
  • Baluster jigs
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Framing squares
  • Wood files
  • Level jigs
  • Disc grinders
  • Beam saws
  • Auger bits
  • Truck cranes
  • Power routers
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Templates
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Right triangles
  • Pencil compasses
  • Wood chisels
  • Rulers
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Measuring tapes
  • Trim routers
  • Notebook computers
  • Table saws
  • Mortise jigs
  • Mini pry bars
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Laser levels
  • Theodolites
  • Power saws
  • Respirators
  • Snips
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Spirit levels
  • Handheld calculators
  • Drill presses
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Ladders
  • Hammer staplers
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Ladder levelers
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Impact wrenches
  • Marking gauges
  • Protractors
  • Calipers
  • Circular saws
  • Planes
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Nail guns
  • Drum sanders
  • Saw guides
  • Combination squares
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Miter saws
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Screw jacks
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Air compressors
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Digital levels
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Compound miter saws
  • Rabbet planes
  • Hand planers
  • Water levels
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Moisture meters
  • Plunge routers
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Extension ladders
  • Pump jacks
  • Caulking guns
  • Dado blades
  • Power drills
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Belt sanders
  • Transit levels
  • Pry bars
  • Power staple guns
  • Shapers
  • Hand saws
  • Push sticks
  • A-frame levels
  • Plumb bobs
  • Plumb lines
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Power generators
  • Bullseye levels
  • Brad tackers
  • Cat's paws
  • Morticers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Pettibones
  • Work boots
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Magnetized levels
  • Band saws
  • Utility knives
  • Joiners
  • Lock levels
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Personal computers
  • Draw chisels
  • Radial arm saws
  • Hammers
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Cordless drills
  • Squares
  • Framing hammers
  • Ladder jacks
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Bubble levels
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Hard hats
  • Carpentry transits
  • Torpedo levels
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Electric planers
  • Layout bars
  • Rotary hammers

Alternative Job Titles