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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Railcar Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Railcar Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Railcar Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Estimating software
  • Procore AI
  • Job costing software
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Web browser software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Quicken
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Bosch Punch List
  • VirtualBoss
  • Work boots
  • Miter saws
  • Radial arm saws
  • Water levels
  • Framing squares
  • Power generators
  • Theodolites
  • Calipers
  • Extension ladders
  • Mortise jigs
  • Utility knives
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Sledgehammers
  • Joiners
  • Ladder levelers
  • Bullseye levels
  • Screw jacks
  • Hammer staplers
  • Snips
  • Magnetized levels
  • Digital levels
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Push sticks
  • Hard hats
  • A-frame levels
  • Power staple guns
  • Marking gauges
  • Spirit levels
  • Rabbet planes
  • Transit levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Rulers
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Drill presses
  • Rotary hammers
  • Pettibones
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Morticers
  • Impact wrenches
  • Measuring tapes
  • Torpedo levels
  • Hammers
  • Shapers
  • Portable routers
  • Band saws
  • Moisture meters
  • Trim routers
  • Baluster jigs
  • Planes
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Respirators
  • Power saws
  • Caulking guns
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Ladder jacks
  • Wood chisels
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Handheld calculators
  • Personal computers
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Cordless drills
  • Auger bits
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Templates
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Saw guides
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Pry bars
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Brad tackers
  • Cat's paws
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Lock levels
  • Notebook computers
  • Hand planers
  • Dado blades
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Air compressors
  • Layout bars
  • Compound miter saws
  • Plunge routers
  • Belt sanders
  • Ladders
  • Nail guns
  • Table saws
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Plumb lines
  • Carpentry transits
  • Combination squares
  • Power sanders
  • Power routers
  • Level jigs
  • Wood files
  • Electric planers
  • Disc grinders
  • Mini pry bars
  • Drum sanders
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Squares
  • Power drills
  • Hand saws
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Draw chisels
  • Plumb bobs
  • Circular saws
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Truck cranes
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Bubble levels
  • Right triangles
  • Laser levels
  • Framing hammers
  • Beam saws
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Pump jacks
  • Pencil compasses
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Protractors

Alternative Job Titles