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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Shingler” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Shingler” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Shingler” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

Technologies & Software

  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • VirtualBoss
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Job costing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Quicken
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Buildots AI
  • Web browser software
  • Procore AI
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Estimating software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Beam saws
  • Pry bars
  • Caulking guns
  • Air compressors
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Respirators
  • Spirit levels
  • Cat's paws
  • Notebook computers
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Dado blades
  • Snips
  • Level jigs
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Bandsaws
  • Work boots
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Trim routers
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Hammers
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Extension ladders
  • A-frame levels
  • Sledgehammers
  • Table saws
  • Portable routers
  • Radial arm saws
  • Plumb lines
  • Hammer staplers
  • Impact wrenches
  • Layout bars
  • Framing squares
  • Power staple guns
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Protractors
  • Personal computers
  • Magnetized levels
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Truck cranes
  • Pump jacks
  • Hand planers
  • Lock levels
  • Shapers
  • Band saws
  • Miter saws
  • Digital levels
  • Power sanders
  • Baluster jigs
  • Joiners
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Combination squares
  • Templates
  • Torpedo levels
  • Marking gauges
  • Rabbet planes
  • Disc grinders
  • Brad tackers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Utility knives
  • Carpentry transits
  • Push sticks
  • Ladders
  • Draw chisels
  • Power generators
  • Moisture meters
  • Right triangles
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Rotary hammers
  • Power routers
  • Laser levels
  • Theodolites
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Screw jacks
  • Transit levels
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Calipers
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Rulers
  • Belt sanders
  • Drill presses
  • Water levels
  • Nail guns
  • Pettibones
  • Pencil compasses
  • Saw guides
  • Electric planers
  • Measuring tapes
  • Power drills
  • Cordless drills
  • Plunge routers
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Drum sanders
  • Squares
  • Bubble levels
  • Framing hammers
  • Power saws
  • Bullseye levels
  • Plumb bobs
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Mini pry bars
  • Auger bits
  • Ladder levelers
  • Ladder jacks
  • Mortise jigs
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Hard hats
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Morticers
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Hand saws
  • Planes
  • Wood chisels
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Compound miter saws
  • Wood files
  • Handheld calculators
  • Circular saws

Alternative Job Titles