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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Shingler” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Shingler” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Shingler” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Estimating software
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Web browser software
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • VirtualBoss
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Procore AI
  • Job costing software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Quicken
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mini pry bars
  • Measuring tapes
  • Draw chisels
  • Baluster jigs
  • Spirit levels
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Mortise jigs
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Rabbet planes
  • Wood files
  • Lock levels
  • Magnetized levels
  • Moisture meters
  • Pencil compasses
  • Sledgehammers
  • Power drills
  • Power generators
  • Ladder levelers
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Pump jacks
  • Carpentry transits
  • Power saws
  • Notebook computers
  • Hard hats
  • Pry bars
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Ladder jacks
  • Framing squares
  • Torpedo levels
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Bubble levels
  • Dado blades
  • Water levels
  • Level jigs
  • Drum sanders
  • Table saws
  • Auger bits
  • Marking gauges
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Ladders
  • Power staple guns
  • Theodolites
  • Trim routers
  • Hand planers
  • Laser levels
  • Disc grinders
  • Templates
  • Shapers
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Plunge routers
  • Handheld calculators
  • Protractors
  • Truck cranes
  • Radial arm saws
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Compound miter saws
  • Utility knives
  • Miter saws
  • Wood chisels
  • Morticers
  • Calipers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Joiners
  • Drill presses
  • Push sticks
  • A-frame levels
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Transit levels
  • Circular saws
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Layout bars
  • Digital levels
  • Respirators
  • Pettibones
  • Right triangles
  • Combination squares
  • Planes
  • Bullseye levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Framing hammers
  • Air compressors
  • Saw guides
  • Brad tackers
  • Beam saws
  • Rotary hammers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Screw jacks
  • Power sanders
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Hammers
  • Nail guns
  • Power routers
  • Caulking guns
  • Belt sanders
  • Rulers
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Portable routers
  • Cat's paws
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Snips
  • Extension ladders
  • Plumb lines
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Electric planers
  • Hammer staplers
  • Squares
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Impact wrenches
  • Hand saws
  • Personal computers
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Cordless drills
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Work boots
  • Band saws
  • Plumb bobs

Alternative Job Titles