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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Shingler” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Shingler” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Shingler” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

Technologies & Software

  • Bosch Punch List
  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Microsoft Windows
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Estimating software
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Job costing software
  • Quicken
  • Buildots AI
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Web browser software
  • VirtualBoss
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Carpentry transits
  • Portable routers
  • Push sticks
  • Power routers
  • Nail guns
  • Electric planers
  • Extension ladders
  • Power staple guns
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Air compressors
  • Ladder levelers
  • Saw guides
  • Ladders
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Rabbet planes
  • Hammer staplers
  • Power drills
  • Hand saws
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Cat's paws
  • Spirit levels
  • Respirators
  • Moisture meters
  • Pettibones
  • Draw chisels
  • Power sanders
  • Laser levels
  • Personal computers
  • Bullseye levels
  • Baluster jigs
  • Utility knives
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Notebook computers
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Cordless drills
  • Hammers
  • Circular saws
  • Squares
  • Mortise jigs
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Pry bars
  • Water levels
  • Framing squares
  • Miter saws
  • Combination squares
  • Drill presses
  • Theodolites
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Drum sanders
  • Morticers
  • Magnetized levels
  • Lock levels
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Snips
  • Belt sanders
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Pencil compasses
  • Plumb lines
  • Right triangles
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Templates
  • Auger bits
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Wood files
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Protractors
  • Measuring tapes
  • Level jigs
  • Caulking guns
  • Trim routers
  • Band saws
  • Bubble levels
  • Calipers
  • Dado blades
  • Planes
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Beam saws
  • Truck cranes
  • Handheld calculators
  • Joiners
  • Bandsaws
  • Marking gauges
  • Transit levels
  • Sledgehammers
  • Wood chisels
  • Rotary hammers
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Layout bars
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Ladder jacks
  • Radial arm saws
  • Pump jacks
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Rulers
  • Disc grinders
  • Power generators
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Shapers
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Plumb bobs
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Power saws
  • Digital levels
  • Hand planers
  • Plunge routers
  • A-frame levels
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Work boots
  • Screw jacks
  • Table saws
  • Torpedo levels
  • Impact wrenches
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Framing hammers
  • Brad tackers
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Hard hats
  • Mini pry bars
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Compound miter saws
  • Reciprocating saws

Alternative Job Titles