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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Union Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Union Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Union Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Web browser software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Job costing software
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Estimating software
  • VirtualBoss
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Procore AI
  • Quicken
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Magnetized levels
  • Plumb bobs
  • Squares
  • Plunge routers
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • A-frame levels
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Pettibones
  • Combination squares
  • Auger bits
  • Power sanders
  • Miter saws
  • Framing squares
  • Level jigs
  • Pry bars
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Respirators
  • Portable routers
  • Brad tackers
  • Plumb lines
  • Wood chisels
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Trim routers
  • Theodolites
  • Hammer staplers
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Spirit levels
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Truck cranes
  • Carpentry transits
  • Utility knives
  • Screw jacks
  • Compound miter saws
  • Layout bars
  • Table saws
  • Mortise jigs
  • Rotary hammers
  • Personal computers
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Push sticks
  • Torpedo levels
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Beam saws
  • Radial arm saws
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Right triangles
  • Transit levels
  • Nail guns
  • Power staple guns
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Joiners
  • Digital levels
  • Work boots
  • Dado blades
  • Circular saws
  • Caulking guns
  • Wood files
  • Power routers
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Drum sanders
  • Ladder levelers
  • Power generators
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Bubble levels
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Hand planers
  • Baluster jigs
  • Hammers
  • Planes
  • Calipers
  • Lock levels
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Moisture meters
  • Power drills
  • Sledgehammers
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Cordless drills
  • Bullseye levels
  • Notebook computers
  • Framing hammers
  • Shapers
  • Impact wrenches
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Pencil compasses
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Band saws
  • Draw chisels
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Belt sanders
  • Laser levels
  • Rabbet planes
  • Cat's paws
  • Protractors
  • Saw guides
  • Handheld calculators
  • Ladders
  • Drill presses
  • Rulers
  • Ladder jacks
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Morticers
  • Electric planers
  • Templates
  • Hand saws
  • Measuring tapes
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Marking gauges
  • Air compressors
  • Power saws
  • Mini pry bars
  • Disc grinders
  • Hard hats
  • Snips
  • Pump jacks
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Water levels
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Extension ladders

Alternative Job Titles