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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Union Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Union Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Union Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

Technologies & Software

  • Procore AI
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Buildots AI
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • VirtualBoss
  • Web browser software
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Estimating software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Microsoft Word
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Job costing software
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Quicken
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Dado blades
  • Personal computers
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Portable routers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Circular saws
  • Draw chisels
  • Cordless drills
  • Baluster jigs
  • Nail guns
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Marking gauges
  • Belt sanders
  • Auger bits
  • Water levels
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Layout bars
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Magnetized levels
  • Beam saws
  • Right triangles
  • Pry bars
  • Hammer staplers
  • Disc grinders
  • Torpedo levels
  • Calipers
  • Pump jacks
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Electric planers
  • Pettibones
  • Spirit levels
  • Ladder jacks
  • Air compressors
  • Saw guides
  • Wood files
  • Mini pry bars
  • Planes
  • Morticers
  • Moisture meters
  • Truck cranes
  • Squares
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Sledgehammers
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Bandsaws
  • Table saws
  • Power sanders
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Brad tackers
  • Shapers
  • Pencil compasses
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Plumb bobs
  • Power staple guns
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Cat's paws
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Respirators
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Drill presses
  • Caulking guns
  • Measuring tapes
  • Extension ladders
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Joiners
  • Radial arm saws
  • Snips
  • Work boots
  • Hammers
  • Hand planers
  • Push sticks
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Templates
  • Wood chisels
  • Rulers
  • Trim routers
  • Rotary hammers
  • Impact wrenches
  • Framing squares
  • Drum sanders
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Power saws
  • Transit levels
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Handheld calculators
  • Lock levels
  • Notebook computers
  • Mortise jigs
  • Protractors
  • Theodolites
  • Bubble levels
  • Ladder levelers
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Carpentry transits
  • Laser levels
  • Utility knives
  • Hard hats
  • Rabbet planes
  • Digital levels
  • Framing hammers
  • Level jigs
  • Band saws
  • Bullseye levels
  • Power generators
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Plumb lines
  • Power routers
  • Hand saws
  • Ladders
  • Plunge routers
  • Compound miter saws
  • Miter saws
  • Power drills
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Screw jacks
  • A-frame levels
  • Combination squares

Alternative Job Titles