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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Union Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Union Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Union Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

Technologies & Software

  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • VirtualBoss
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Estimating software
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Buildots AI
  • Job costing software
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Web browser software
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Procore AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Quicken
  • Belt sanders
  • Hammers
  • Work boots
  • Ladder levelers
  • Spirit levels
  • Snips
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Mortise jigs
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Hand saws
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Pettibones
  • Pry bars
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Planes
  • Digital levels
  • Impact wrenches
  • Band saws
  • Rulers
  • Handheld calculators
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Drum sanders
  • Bubble levels
  • Power routers
  • Moisture meters
  • Squares
  • Hammer staplers
  • Trim routers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Shapers
  • Carpentry transits
  • Table saws
  • Air compressors
  • Plumb lines
  • Level jigs
  • Brad tackers
  • Circular saws
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Measuring tapes
  • Pump jacks
  • Dado blades
  • Wood chisels
  • Compound miter saws
  • Sledgehammers
  • Respirators
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Push sticks
  • Hand planers
  • Layout bars
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Electric planers
  • Framing squares
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Right triangles
  • Radial arm saws
  • Saw guides
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Auger bits
  • Caulking guns
  • Wood files
  • Truck cranes
  • Lock levels
  • Draw chisels
  • Ladder jacks
  • Plumb bobs
  • Hard hats
  • Mini pry bars
  • Theodolites
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Portable routers
  • Personal computers
  • Power drills
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Beam saws
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Templates
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Morticers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Combination squares
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Rabbet planes
  • Torpedo levels
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Joiners
  • A-frame levels
  • Drill presses
  • Power saws
  • Bullseye levels
  • Laser levels
  • Power sanders
  • Ladders
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Marking gauges
  • Transit levels
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Pencil compasses
  • Power generators
  • Power staple guns
  • Utility knives
  • Miter saws
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Cat's paws
  • Nail guns
  • Protractors
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Notebook computers
  • Screw jacks
  • Framing hammers
  • Magnetized levels
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Baluster jigs
  • Calipers
  • Extension ladders
  • Cordless drills
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Rotary hammers
  • Water levels
  • Plunge routers
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Disc grinders
  • Needlenose pliers

Alternative Job Titles