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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Rough Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Rough Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Rough Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

Technologies & Software

  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Web browser software
  • VirtualBoss
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Estimating software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Quicken
  • Buildots AI
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Job costing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Procore AI
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Power saws
  • Protractors
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Circular saws
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Push sticks
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Theodolites
  • Pry bars
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Planes
  • Radial arm saws
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Saw guides
  • Torpedo levels
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Power routers
  • Brad tackers
  • Power staple guns
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Snips
  • Nail guns
  • Screw jacks
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Plumb lines
  • Baluster jigs
  • Layout bars
  • Level jigs
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Draw chisels
  • Personal computers
  • Power drills
  • Spirit levels
  • Miter saws
  • Handheld calculators
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Rulers
  • Power generators
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Combination squares
  • Impact wrenches
  • Drum sanders
  • Mini pry bars
  • Magnetized levels
  • Wood chisels
  • Ladders
  • Dado blades
  • Pencil compasses
  • Table saws
  • Notebook computers
  • Hand saws
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Utility knives
  • Hard hats
  • Cordless drills
  • Beam saws
  • Mortise jigs
  • Bubble levels
  • Hand planers
  • Calipers
  • Rabbet planes
  • Laser levels
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Band saws
  • Compound miter saws
  • Carpentry transits
  • Portable routers
  • Ladder jacks
  • Extension ladders
  • Electric planers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Lock levels
  • Air compressors
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Hammers
  • Trim routers
  • Framing hammers
  • Shapers
  • Power sanders
  • Bandsaws
  • Cat's paws
  • Belt sanders
  • Pump jacks
  • Transit levels
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Ladder levelers
  • Measuring tapes
  • Framing squares
  • Drill presses
  • Caulking guns
  • Bullseye levels
  • Disc grinders
  • Truck cranes
  • Digital levels
  • Wood files
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Plunge routers
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Work boots
  • Morticers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Water levels
  • Moisture meters
  • Marking gauges
  • Hammer staplers
  • Pettibones
  • Joiners
  • A-frame levels
  • Right triangles
  • Templates
  • Rotary hammers
  • Auger bits
  • Squares
  • Respirators
  • Plumb bobs

Alternative Job Titles