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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Rough Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Rough Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Rough Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Job costing software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • VirtualBoss
  • Procore AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Buildots AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Estimating software
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Word
  • Web browser software
  • Quicken
  • Framing squares
  • Rulers
  • Power staple guns
  • Extension ladders
  • Bubble levels
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Cat's paws
  • Templates
  • Notebook computers
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Wood chisels
  • Bandsaws
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Table saws
  • Pencil compasses
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Spirit levels
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Miter saws
  • Disc grinders
  • Ladder levelers
  • Trim routers
  • A-frame levels
  • Cordless drills
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Squares
  • Morticers
  • Brad tackers
  • Lock levels
  • Sledgehammers
  • Auger bits
  • Truck cranes
  • Plunge routers
  • Laser levels
  • Wood files
  • Handheld calculators
  • Layout bars
  • Power routers
  • Moisture meters
  • Water levels
  • Mini pry bars
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Power generators
  • Pump jacks
  • Measuring tapes
  • Magnetized levels
  • Hand saws
  • Drill presses
  • Compound miter saws
  • Ladder jacks
  • Radial arm saws
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Power saws
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Calipers
  • Shapers
  • Nail guns
  • Joiners
  • Snips
  • Caulking guns
  • Transit levels
  • Personal computers
  • Push sticks
  • Rotary hammers
  • Work boots
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Right triangles
  • Pettibones
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Hammer staplers
  • Respirators
  • Belt sanders
  • Utility knives
  • Planes
  • Digital levels
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Beam saws
  • Torpedo levels
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Rabbet planes
  • Hammers
  • Ladders
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Mortise jigs
  • Dado blades
  • Saw guides
  • Bullseye levels
  • Power sanders
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Baluster jigs
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Screw jacks
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Plumb lines
  • Pry bars
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Drum sanders
  • Combination squares
  • Hard hats
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Impact wrenches
  • Electric planers
  • Circular saws
  • Portable routers
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Plumb bobs
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Level jigs
  • Hand planers
  • Marking gauges
  • Carpentry transits
  • Draw chisels
  • Band saws
  • Power drills
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Framing hammers
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Theodolites
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Air compressors
  • Protractors

Alternative Job Titles