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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Rough Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Rough Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Rough Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

Technologies & Software

  • Job costing software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Web browser software
  • Quicken
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Estimating software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Buildots AI
  • VirtualBoss
  • Microsoft Word
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Calipers
  • Power routers
  • Carpentry transits
  • Right triangles
  • Mortise jigs
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Personal computers
  • Ladder jacks
  • Caulking guns
  • Miter saws
  • Power generators
  • Air compressors
  • Framing hammers
  • Truck cranes
  • Radial arm saws
  • Screw jacks
  • Theodolites
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Level jigs
  • Wood files
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Power sanders
  • Bandsaws
  • Power drills
  • Squares
  • Drum sanders
  • Rulers
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Auger bits
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Work boots
  • Handheld calculators
  • Baluster jigs
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Portable routers
  • Lock levels
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Nail guns
  • Band saws
  • Hard hats
  • Plunge routers
  • Water levels
  • Ladders
  • Pencil compasses
  • Disc grinders
  • Ladder levelers
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Cordless drills
  • Hammer staplers
  • Utility knives
  • Transit levels
  • Laser levels
  • A-frame levels
  • Protractors
  • Pry bars
  • Torpedo levels
  • Belt sanders
  • Brad tackers
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Bubble levels
  • Notebook computers
  • Compound miter saws
  • Cat's paws
  • Digital levels
  • Beam saws
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Drill presses
  • Templates
  • Power staple guns
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Framing squares
  • Spirit levels
  • Combination squares
  • Trim routers
  • Shapers
  • Joiners
  • Rotary hammers
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Pettibones
  • Extension ladders
  • Hand saws
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Pump jacks
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Plumb lines
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Saw guides
  • Magnetized levels
  • Wood chisels
  • Push sticks
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Moisture meters
  • Snips
  • Bullseye levels
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Planes
  • Mini pry bars
  • Layout bars
  • Table saws
  • Hammers
  • Morticers
  • Plumb bobs
  • Marking gauges
  • Measuring tapes
  • Draw chisels
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Electric planers
  • Dado blades
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Circular saws
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Hand planers
  • Power saws
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Impact wrenches
  • Respirators
  • Rabbet planes

Alternative Job Titles