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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Production Worker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Production Worker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Production Worker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

Technologies & Software

  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Job costing software
  • Buildots AI
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Quicken
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Web browser software
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • VirtualBoss
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Procore AI
  • Estimating software
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Personal computers
  • Hand planers
  • Auger bits
  • Impact wrenches
  • Compound miter saws
  • Drill presses
  • Drum sanders
  • Handheld calculators
  • Moisture meters
  • Framing hammers
  • Pry bars
  • Templates
  • Morticers
  • Power routers
  • Layout bars
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Right triangles
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Spirit levels
  • Hammers
  • Power saws
  • Trim routers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Bandsaws
  • Truck cranes
  • Theodolites
  • Calipers
  • Squares
  • Rabbet planes
  • Transit levels
  • Brad tackers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Work boots
  • Band saws
  • Caulking guns
  • Screw jacks
  • Joiners
  • Combination squares
  • Plunge routers
  • Nail guns
  • Bullseye levels
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Water levels
  • Dado blades
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Torpedo levels
  • Marking gauges
  • Circular saws
  • Bubble levels
  • Miter saws
  • Wood files
  • Electric planers
  • Sledgehammers
  • A-frame levels
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Pencil compasses
  • Carpentry transits
  • Digital levels
  • Portable routers
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Level jigs
  • Respirators
  • Saw guides
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Utility knives
  • Snips
  • Rotary hammers
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Disc grinders
  • Power staple guns
  • Lock levels
  • Protractors
  • Hard hats
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Ladder jacks
  • Mortise jigs
  • Draw chisels
  • Cat's paws
  • Baluster jigs
  • Air compressors
  • Planes
  • Push sticks
  • Measuring tapes
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Hand saws
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Belt sanders
  • Pettibones
  • Shapers
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Mini pry bars
  • Rulers
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Ladder levelers
  • Beam saws
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Hammer staplers
  • Magnetized levels
  • Power sanders
  • Extension ladders
  • Wood chisels
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Radial arm saws
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Plumb bobs
  • Laser levels
  • Table saws
  • Power drills
  • Plumb lines
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Power generators
  • Ladders
  • Cordless drills
  • Pump jacks
  • Framing squares
  • Worm-drive saws

Alternative Job Titles