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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Ceiler” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Ceiler” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Ceiler” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

Technologies & Software

  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Estimating software
  • Quicken
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Buildots AI
  • Job costing software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • VirtualBoss
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Procore AI
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Web browser software
  • Bubble levels
  • Laser levels
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Ladder levelers
  • Drill presses
  • Saw guides
  • Hard hats
  • Portable routers
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Digital levels
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Framing squares
  • Belt sanders
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Measuring tapes
  • Power routers
  • Torpedo levels
  • Power drills
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Framing hammers
  • Joiners
  • Sledgehammers
  • Plumb bobs
  • Bullseye levels
  • Truck cranes
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Dado blades
  • Layout bars
  • Planes
  • Water levels
  • Snips
  • Screw jacks
  • Plunge routers
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Cat's paws
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Circular saws
  • Power staple guns
  • Calipers
  • Magnetized levels
  • Nail guns
  • Cordless drills
  • Morticers
  • Hand planers
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Pettibones
  • Rulers
  • Band saws
  • Templates
  • Impact wrenches
  • Compound miter saws
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Spirit levels
  • Ladders
  • Beam saws
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Ladder jacks
  • Theodolites
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Power generators
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Hammer staplers
  • Transit levels
  • Rabbet planes
  • Electric planers
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Hand saws
  • Extension ladders
  • Pump jacks
  • Level jigs
  • Air compressors
  • Handheld calculators
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Draw chisels
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Respirators
  • Rotary hammers
  • Push sticks
  • Squares
  • Marking gauges
  • Mortise jigs
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Power saws
  • Shapers
  • Combination squares
  • Radial arm saws
  • Wood files
  • Notebook computers
  • Table saws
  • Drum sanders
  • Moisture meters
  • Bandsaws
  • Disc grinders
  • Trim routers
  • Utility knives
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Mini pry bars
  • Plumb lines
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • A-frame levels
  • Lock levels
  • Right triangles
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Wood chisels
  • Miter saws
  • Brad tackers
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Pencil compasses
  • Personal computers
  • Power sanders
  • Auger bits
  • Caulking guns
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Protractors
  • Work boots
  • Carpentry transits
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Hammers
  • Baluster jigs
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Pry bars

Alternative Job Titles