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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Ceiler” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Ceiler” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Ceiler” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

Technologies & Software

  • Web page creation and editing software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Estimating software
  • Job costing software
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Procore AI
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • VirtualBoss
  • Microsoft Word
  • Quicken
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Web browser software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Screw jacks
  • Combination squares
  • Personal computers
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Hammer staplers
  • Power sanders
  • Hammers
  • Rabbet planes
  • Power routers
  • Theodolites
  • Hand planers
  • Electric planers
  • Ladder levelers
  • Radial arm saws
  • Notebook computers
  • Trim routers
  • Right triangles
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Truck cranes
  • Portable routers
  • Pump jacks
  • Laser levels
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Framing squares
  • Caulking guns
  • Saw guides
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Torpedo levels
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Ladder jacks
  • Power generators
  • Plumb bobs
  • Marking gauges
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Baluster jigs
  • Joiners
  • Impact wrenches
  • Work boots
  • Drum sanders
  • Circular saws
  • Plumb lines
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Spirit levels
  • Protractors
  • Handheld calculators
  • Carpentry transits
  • Transit levels
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Level jigs
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Mini pry bars
  • Drill presses
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Layout bars
  • Bandsaws
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Push sticks
  • Utility knives
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Shapers
  • Wood files
  • Lock levels
  • Disc grinders
  • Bubble levels
  • Rulers
  • Nail guns
  • Dado blades
  • Table saws
  • Mortise jigs
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Cat's paws
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Templates
  • Squares
  • Pry bars
  • Air compressors
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Power drills
  • Power staple guns
  • Plunge routers
  • Auger bits
  • Power saws
  • Wood chisels
  • Miter saws
  • Planes
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Compound miter saws
  • Cordless drills
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Measuring tapes
  • Hand saws
  • Water levels
  • Framing hammers
  • Pencil compasses
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Snips
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Rotary hammers
  • Magnetized levels
  • Bullseye levels
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Band saws
  • Moisture meters
  • Calipers
  • Digital levels
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Draw chisels
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Hard hats
  • A-frame levels
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Morticers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Brad tackers
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Belt sanders
  • Beam saws
  • Pettibones
  • Respirators
  • Ladders
  • Extension ladders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA

Alternative Job Titles