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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Ship Ceiler” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Ship Ceiler” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Ship Ceiler” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

Technologies & Software

  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Buildots AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Estimating software
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Web browser software
  • Quicken
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Procore AI
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Job costing software
  • VirtualBoss
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Personal computers
  • Shapers
  • Framing squares
  • Moisture meters
  • Hammer staplers
  • Power generators
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Drum sanders
  • Screw jacks
  • Torpedo levels
  • Electric planers
  • Bullseye levels
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Marking gauges
  • Measuring tapes
  • Right triangles
  • Morticers
  • Respirators
  • Laser levels
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Power sanders
  • Plumb bobs
  • A-frame levels
  • Squares
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Sledgehammers
  • Snips
  • Pencil compasses
  • Disc grinders
  • Radial arm saws
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Plumb lines
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Power routers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Planes
  • Rulers
  • Saw guides
  • Templates
  • Ladder levelers
  • Utility knives
  • Protractors
  • Combination squares
  • Carpentry transits
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Mortise jigs
  • Bandsaws
  • Wood chisels
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Lock levels
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Push sticks
  • Hard hats
  • Spirit levels
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Beam saws
  • Power staple guns
  • Brad tackers
  • Ladders
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Caulking guns
  • Table saws
  • Theodolites
  • Dado blades
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Nail guns
  • Miter saws
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Pump jacks
  • Notebook computers
  • Baluster jigs
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Cat's paws
  • Digital levels
  • Circular saws
  • Power saws
  • Pry bars
  • Mini pry bars
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Plunge routers
  • Bubble levels
  • Rabbet planes
  • Compound miter saws
  • Ladder jacks
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Cordless drills
  • Pettibones
  • Rotary hammers
  • Water levels
  • Draw chisels
  • Extension ladders
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Level jigs
  • Joiners
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Wood files
  • Framing hammers
  • Auger bits
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Handheld calculators
  • Impact wrenches
  • Band saws
  • Layout bars
  • Trim routers
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Truck cranes
  • Belt sanders
  • Transit levels
  • Portable routers
  • Drill presses
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Hand planers
  • Hammers
  • Air compressors
  • Calipers
  • Hand saws
  • Work boots
  • Magnetized levels
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Power drills

Alternative Job Titles