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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Custom Wood Stair Builder” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Custom Wood Stair Builder” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Custom Wood Stair Builder” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Microsoft Word
  • Quicken
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Buildots AI
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Microsoft Windows
  • VirtualBoss
  • Job costing software
  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Web browser software
  • Estimating software
  • Plumb lines
  • Screw jacks
  • Beam saws
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Power sanders
  • Drum sanders
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Pry bars
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Handheld calculators
  • Saw guides
  • Trim routers
  • Push sticks
  • Cat's paws
  • Truck cranes
  • Notebook computers
  • Table saws
  • Framing squares
  • Layout bars
  • Caulking guns
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Bubble levels
  • Hand saws
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Mortise jigs
  • Power saws
  • Torpedo levels
  • Carpentry transits
  • Morticers
  • Belt sanders
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Baluster jigs
  • Compound miter saws
  • Wood files
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Air compressors
  • Drill presses
  • Water levels
  • Plunge routers
  • Rabbet planes
  • Nail guns
  • Disc grinders
  • Calipers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Band saws
  • Power generators
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Bandsaws
  • Bullseye levels
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Dado blades
  • Theodolites
  • Impact wrenches
  • Hammer staplers
  • Auger bits
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Hard hats
  • Rotary hammers
  • Squares
  • Level jigs
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Magnetized levels
  • Moisture meters
  • Transit levels
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Protractors
  • Pettibones
  • Utility knives
  • Power routers
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Laser levels
  • Combination squares
  • Pencil compasses
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Planes
  • Ladder jacks
  • Respirators
  • Radial arm saws
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Measuring tapes
  • Brad tackers
  • Ladder levelers
  • Digital levels
  • Pump jacks
  • Snips
  • Circular saws
  • Miter saws
  • Framing hammers
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Plumb bobs
  • Draw chisels
  • Mini pry bars
  • Wood chisels
  • Joiners
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Personal computers
  • Templates
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Cordless drills
  • Ladders
  • A-frame levels
  • Hammers
  • Hand planers
  • Power drills
  • Portable routers
  • Electric planers
  • Spirit levels
  • Rulers
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Marking gauges
  • Power staple guns
  • Extension ladders
  • Work boots
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Lock levels
  • Shapers
  • Right triangles

Alternative Job Titles