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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Custom Wood Stair Builder” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Custom Wood Stair Builder” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Custom Wood Stair Builder” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

Technologies & Software

  • Quicken
  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Buildots AI
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Estimating software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Web browser software
  • Job costing software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • VirtualBoss
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Right triangles
  • Push sticks
  • Laser levels
  • Compound miter saws
  • Portable routers
  • Combination squares
  • Auger bits
  • Nail guns
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Saw guides
  • Bandsaws
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Dado blades
  • Shapers
  • Snips
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Impact wrenches
  • Templates
  • Rotary hammers
  • Cordless drills
  • Circular saws
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Mini pry bars
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Carpentry transits
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Caulking guns
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Power saws
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Layout bars
  • Hard hats
  • Hammers
  • Power sanders
  • Personal computers
  • Torpedo levels
  • Squares
  • Rabbet planes
  • Work boots
  • Extension ladders
  • Power routers
  • Pump jacks
  • Framing hammers
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Morticers
  • Plumb bobs
  • Plunge routers
  • Level jigs
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Drum sanders
  • Wood chisels
  • Joiners
  • Air compressors
  • Miter saws
  • Handheld calculators
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Framing squares
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Magnetized levels
  • Power drills
  • Digital levels
  • Calipers
  • Moisture meters
  • Cat's paws
  • Draw chisels
  • Drill presses
  • Planes
  • Hand saws
  • Water levels
  • Measuring tapes
  • Ladder jacks
  • Truck cranes
  • Hand planers
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Band saws
  • Hammer staplers
  • Marking gauges
  • Radial arm saws
  • Pry bars
  • Bullseye levels
  • Transit levels
  • Mortise jigs
  • Table saws
  • Brad tackers
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Pencil compasses
  • Ladder levelers
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Theodolites
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Lock levels
  • Respirators
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Sledgehammers
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Protractors
  • Trim routers
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Beam saws
  • Bubble levels
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Belt sanders
  • Notebook computers
  • A-frame levels
  • Screw jacks
  • Ladders
  • Power generators
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Wood files
  • Pettibones
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Power staple guns
  • Disc grinders
  • Rulers
  • Baluster jigs
  • Utility knives
  • Electric planers
  • Plumb lines
  • Spirit levels

Alternative Job Titles