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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Refinisher” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Refinisher” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Refinisher” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

Technologies & Software

  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Job costing software
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Estimating software
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Web browser software
  • VirtualBoss
  • Microsoft Word
  • Quicken
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Buildots AI
  • Drill presses
  • Auger bits
  • Hard hats
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Squares
  • Bubble levels
  • Ladder levelers
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Laser levels
  • Moisture meters
  • Power sanders
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Framing squares
  • A-frame levels
  • Cat's paws
  • Miter saws
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Framing hammers
  • Rulers
  • Level jigs
  • Radial arm saws
  • Protractors
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Hand saws
  • Band saws
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Sledgehammers
  • Brad tackers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Personal computers
  • Water levels
  • Caulking guns
  • Snips
  • Belt sanders
  • Torpedo levels
  • Air compressors
  • Work boots
  • Transit levels
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Truck cranes
  • Magnetized levels
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Layout bars
  • Power generators
  • Pettibones
  • Saw guides
  • Compound miter saws
  • Wood chisels
  • Screw jacks
  • Drum sanders
  • Plumb lines
  • Digital levels
  • Pump jacks
  • Rabbet planes
  • Disc grinders
  • Hand planers
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Beam saws
  • Pencil compasses
  • Draw chisels
  • Rotary hammers
  • Push sticks
  • Table saws
  • Planes
  • Marking gauges
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Electric planers
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Power saws
  • Calipers
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Power routers
  • Mini pry bars
  • Plumb bobs
  • Combination squares
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Carpentry transits
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Plunge routers
  • Circular saws
  • Bullseye levels
  • Power staple guns
  • Ladders
  • Theodolites
  • Morticers
  • Baluster jigs
  • Shapers
  • Cordless drills
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Notebook computers
  • Trim routers
  • Templates
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Respirators
  • Nail guns
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Spirit levels
  • Joiners
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Mortise jigs
  • Dado blades
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Bandsaws
  • Impact wrenches
  • Hammers
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Handheld calculators
  • Pry bars
  • Portable routers
  • Wood files
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Measuring tapes
  • Ladder jacks
  • Utility knives
  • Hammer staplers
  • Power drills
  • Right triangles
  • Extension ladders
  • Lock levels
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Fold-up ladders

Alternative Job Titles