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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Bakery Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Bakery Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Bakery Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

Technologies & Software

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  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
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  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Minitab
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Email software
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Operating system software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • Database software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Materials management software
  • Apple Safari
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Inventory management software
  • Resource planning software
  • Microsoft Project
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Operational databases
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • DeepSeek
  • SAP Business One
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Encompix ERP
  • Intacct ERP
  • Exact MAX
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Delphi Technology
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • IBM Notes
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Gemini (Google)
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  • Personal protective clothing
  • Laser scanners
  • Respirators
  • Operator terminals
  • Personal computers
  • Safety shoes
  • Desktop computers
  • Safety glasses
  • Notebook computers
  • Hard hats
  • Laser printers

Alternative Job Titles