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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cereal Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Cereal Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Cereal Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

Technologies & Software

  • Delphi Technology
  • Timekeeping software
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Operational databases
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • IBM Notes
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Minitab
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • DeepSeek
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Apple Safari
  • Email software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Project
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Operating system software
  • Materials management software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • SAP Business One
  • Google Chrome
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Word
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Resource planning software
  • Intacct ERP
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Microsoft Access
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • Inventory management software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Word processing software
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Exact MAX
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Encompix ERP
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • SAP software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Safety glasses
  • Operator terminals
  • Personal computers
  • Laser printers
  • Safety shoes
  • Notebook computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Laser scanners
  • Personal protective clothing
  • Respirators
  • Hard hats

Alternative Job Titles