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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Production Machine Shop Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Production Machine Shop Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Production Machine Shop Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Project
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Intacct ERP
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Timekeeping software
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • Exact MAX
  • Microsoft Word
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Apple Safari
  • IBM Notes
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Inventory management software
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Gemini (Google)
  • SAP Business One
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Minitab
  • SAP software
  • Word processing software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • DeepSeek
  • Encompix ERP
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Microsoft Access
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Email software
  • Resource planning software
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Materials management software
  • Delphi Technology
  • Operational databases
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Google Chrome
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Operating system software
  • Laser scanners
  • Respirators
  • Desktop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Hard hats
  • Laser printers
  • Safety shoes
  • Safety glasses
  • Operator terminals
  • Notebook computers
  • Personal protective clothing

Alternative Job Titles