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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cigar Making Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Cigar Making Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Cigar Making Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

Technologies & Software

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  • Gemini (Google)
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  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Resource planning software
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • IBM Notes
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Materials management software
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • Word processing software
  • Delphi Technology
  • Microsoft Word
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Operating system software
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Apple Safari
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Access
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Operational databases
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Database software
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Exact MAX
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • SAP Business One
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Minitab
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Timekeeping software
  • Inventory management software
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Llama (Meta)
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Google Chrome
  • Safety glasses
  • Operator terminals
  • Hard hats
  • Personal computers
  • Safety shoes
  • Laser scanners
  • Laser printers
  • Desktop computers
  • Respirators
  • Notebook computers
  • Personal protective clothing

Alternative Job Titles