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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cigar Making Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Cigar Making Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Cigar Making Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

Technologies & Software

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  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • SAP Business One
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Inventory management software
  • Exact MAX
  • Sight Machine AI
  • SAP software
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Microsoft Word
  • Resource planning software
  • Google Chrome
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • IBM Notes
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Database software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Operating system software
  • Apple Safari
  • DeepSeek
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Word processing software
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Intacct ERP
  • Microsoft Project
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Timekeeping software
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Operational databases
  • Materials management software
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Minitab
  • Encompix ERP
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Email software
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Claude (Anthropic)
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  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Aptean Made2Manage
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  • Safety shoes
  • Desktop computers
  • Operator terminals
  • Personal computers
  • Respirators
  • Laser printers
  • Hard hats
  • Personal protective clothing
  • Laser scanners
  • Notebook computers
  • Safety glasses

Alternative Job Titles