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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Paper Mill Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Paper Mill Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Paper Mill Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

Technologies & Software

  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Resource planning software
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Sight Machine AI
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Exact MAX
  • Minitab
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Google Chrome
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Delphi Technology
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Microsoft Office software
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Operational databases
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Encompix ERP
  • Database software
  • Apple Safari
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • SAP Business One
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Timekeeping software
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • SAP software
  • Inventory management software
  • Materials management software
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • IBM Notes
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Microsoft Project
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Intacct ERP
  • Word processing software
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Microsoft Word
  • Email software
  • Hard hats
  • Safety shoes
  • Desktop computers
  • Safety glasses
  • Operator terminals
  • Respirators
  • Personal computers
  • Personal protective clothing
  • Laser scanners
  • Laser printers
  • Notebook computers

Alternative Job Titles