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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Hand Cigar Making Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Hand Cigar Making Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Hand Cigar Making Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

Technologies & Software

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  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Intacct ERP
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • Inventory management software
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Microsoft Word
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • DeepSeek
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Email software
  • SAP software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Operating system software
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • Microsoft Access
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Materials management software
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Database software
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Operational databases
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Resource planning software
  • Encompix ERP
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Timekeeping software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Minitab
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Exact MAX
  • Google Chrome
  • Safety shoes
  • Safety glasses
  • Respirators
  • Personal computers
  • Laser printers
  • Personal protective clothing
  • Notebook computers
  • Operator terminals
  • Desktop computers
  • Laser scanners
  • Hard hats

Alternative Job Titles