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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Coal Yard Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Coal Yard Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Coal Yard Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

Technologies & Software

  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
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  • SAP software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Apple Safari
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Operating system software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Inventory management software
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Google Chrome
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Intacct ERP
  • Email software
  • Delphi Technology
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Minitab
  • SAP Business One
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Timekeeping software
  • IBM Notes
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Exact MAX
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • Microsoft Project
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Microsoft Access
  • Materials management software
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • Database software
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Encompix ERP
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Resource planning software
  • Operational databases
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Laser scanners
  • Laser printers
  • Notebook computers
  • Respirators
  • Personal protective clothing
  • Safety shoes
  • Safety glasses
  • Desktop computers
  • Hard hats
  • Operator terminals
  • Personal computers

Alternative Job Titles