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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cellar Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Cellar Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Cellar Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

Technologies & Software

  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Word processing software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Google Chrome
  • Resource planning software
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Access
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Email software
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Inventory management software
  • Materials management software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Apple Safari
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • SAP Business One
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Timekeeping software
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • DeepSeek
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Minitab
  • Database software
  • SAP software
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • Operational databases
  • Intacct ERP
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Microsoft Project
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Encompix ERP
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Delphi Technology
  • Microsoft Word
  • Exact MAX
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Respirators
  • Notebook computers
  • Personal computers
  • Operator terminals
  • Desktop computers
  • Laser scanners
  • Safety shoes
  • Safety glasses
  • Hard hats
  • Laser printers
  • Personal protective clothing

Alternative Job Titles