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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tumblers Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Tumblers Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Tumblers Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

Technologies & Software

  • Integrated materials management systems
  • Minitab
  • Word processing software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • SAP software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • Materials management software
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Resource planning software
  • Encompix ERP
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Database software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • IBM Notes
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Word
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Delphi Technology
  • Google Chrome
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Apple Safari
  • Timekeeping software
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Operational databases
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Intacct ERP
  • SAP Business One
  • Inventory management software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Email software
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Exact MAX
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Project
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • Operating system software
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Safety glasses
  • Laser printers
  • Laser scanners
  • Desktop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Notebook computers
  • Operator terminals
  • Safety shoes
  • Respirators
  • Hard hats
  • Personal protective clothing

Alternative Job Titles