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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tumblers Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Tumblers Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Tumblers Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

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Alternative Job Titles