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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Turn Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Turn Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Turn Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

Technologies & Software

  • Integrated materials management systems
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Inventory management software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Sight Machine AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Delphi Technology
  • Materials management software
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Minitab
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Resource planning software
  • Email software
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Word processing software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Timekeeping software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • IBM Notes
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • SAP software
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Operational databases
  • SAP Business One
  • Apple Safari
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Encompix ERP
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Exact MAX
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Microsoft Access
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Google Chrome
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Intacct ERP
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Operating system software
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Microsoft Project
  • Operator terminals
  • Personal protective clothing
  • Personal computers
  • Laser scanners
  • Safety shoes
  • Hard hats
  • Laser printers
  • Safety glasses
  • Notebook computers
  • Respirators
  • Desktop computers

Alternative Job Titles