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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Paper Machine Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Paper Machine Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Paper Machine Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

Technologies & Software

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  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Materials management software
  • Database software
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Google Chrome
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • SAP software
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • Resource planning software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Operating system software
  • SAP Business One
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Minitab
  • Microsoft Project
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Access
  • DeepSeek
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Apple Safari
  • Gemini (Google)
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Email software
  • Operational databases
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • IBM Notes
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Inventory management software
  • Exact MAX
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Delphi Technology
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Intacct ERP
  • Laser scanners
  • Hard hats
  • Laser printers
  • Notebook computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Safety glasses
  • Personal computers
  • Safety shoes
  • Operator terminals
  • Respirators
  • Personal protective clothing

Alternative Job Titles