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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Paper Machine Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Paper Machine Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Paper Machine Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

Technologies & Software

  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Google Chrome
  • Inventory management software
  • SAP Business One
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Minitab
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • IBM Notes
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Timekeeping software
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Llama (Meta)
  • SAP software
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Microsoft Word
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Materials management software
  • Intacct ERP
  • Exact MAX
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Email software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Encompix ERP
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Apple Safari
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Operational databases
  • Microsoft Project
  • Database software
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Delphi Technology
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Resource planning software
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Microsoft Access
  • Gemini (Google)
  • DeepSeek
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Operating system software
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • Safety glasses
  • Personal computers
  • Respirators
  • Notebook computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Laser scanners
  • Laser printers
  • Personal protective clothing
  • Hard hats
  • Safety shoes
  • Operator terminals

Alternative Job Titles