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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pattern Shop Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Pattern Shop Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Pattern Shop Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

Technologies & Software

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  • Spreadsheet software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Encompix ERP
  • Llama (Meta)
  • SAP Business One
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Microsoft Project
  • Email software
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Exact MAX
  • Google Chrome
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Resource planning software
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Delphi Technology
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Minitab
  • Operational databases
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • Microsoft Word
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • IBM Notes
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Timekeeping software
  • Word processing software
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Database software
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • DeepSeek
  • Apple Safari
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Inventory management software
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • SAP software
  • Intacct ERP
  • Safety glasses
  • Respirators
  • Operator terminals
  • Personal computers
  • Laser scanners
  • Desktop computers
  • Hard hats
  • Personal protective clothing
  • Notebook computers
  • Laser printers
  • Safety shoes

Alternative Job Titles