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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Manufacturing Shift Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Manufacturing Shift Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Manufacturing Shift Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

Technologies & Software

  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Operational databases
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Timekeeping software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Gemini (Google)
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Operating system software
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Database software
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Minitab
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • SAP Business One
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • DeepSeek
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Google Chrome
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Microsoft Word
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Email software
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Delphi Technology
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • Inventory management software
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • Microsoft Access
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Microsoft Project
  • Resource planning software
  • Intacct ERP
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Encompix ERP
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Word processing software
  • Apple Safari
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Exact MAX
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Materials management software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Personal protective clothing
  • Notebook computers
  • Laser printers
  • Desktop computers
  • Safety shoes
  • Laser scanners
  • Safety glasses
  • Hard hats
  • Respirators
  • Personal computers
  • Operator terminals

Alternative Job Titles