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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Refinery Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Refinery Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Refinery Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

Technologies & Software

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  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Word processing software
  • DeepSeek
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Resource planning software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Encompix ERP
  • IBM Notes
  • Google Chrome
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • NetSuite NetERP
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • SAP Business One
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Microsoft Word
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Inventory management software
  • Materials management software
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Apple Safari
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Timekeeping software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Operational databases
  • Grok (xAI)
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  • Operating system software
  • Minitab
  • Delphi Technology
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • GHG Clockwise
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  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
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  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
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  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
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  • Notebook computers
  • Laser scanners
  • Safety shoes
  • Personal protective clothing
  • Desktop computers
  • Operator terminals
  • Safety glasses

Alternative Job Titles