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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Sawmill Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #73 of 702. Estimated risk: 1.6%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Sawmill Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

52%

“Sawmill Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Avg. Annual Salary $74,540
Avg. Hourly Wage $35.84
Available Jobs (US) 685,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers #51-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.

  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.

  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.

  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.

  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.

  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.

  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.

  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.

  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.

  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.

  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.

  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.

  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.

  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.

  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.

  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.

  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.

  • Evaluate employee performance.

  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.

Technologies & Software

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  • IBM Notes
  • Retain Resource Planning
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Encompix ERP
  • Microsoft Word
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Project
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Giraffe Production Systems Giraffe Schedule System
  • Word processing software
  • Timekeeping software
  • Operating system software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Kronos Workforce Timekeeper
  • Apple Safari
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • QA Software QMS Materials Management
  • Resource planning software
  • Email software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft Internet Explorer
  • SYSPRO business software
  • Intacct ERP
  • Capterra Enterprise Resource Planning
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Database software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • SAP Business One
  • Google Chrome
  • Microsoft Total Quality Control Management
  • Apple iWork Pages
  • Materials management software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Mozilla Firefox
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Epicor Vantage ERP
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Integrated materials management systems
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Total quality management TQM software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Axapta
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Operational databases
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Work Technology WorkTech Time
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Aptean Made2Manage
  • Exact MAX
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Delphi Technology
  • Bowen & Groves M1 ERP
  • GHG Clockwise
  • Technology Group International Enterprise 21 ERP
  • Inventory management software
  • Microsoft Access
  • DeepSeek
  • Epicor Vista ERP
  • Minitab
  • Safety glasses
  • Operator terminals
  • Personal protective clothing
  • Laser scanners
  • Safety shoes
  • Hard hats
  • Respirators
  • Notebook computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Laser printers
  • Personal computers

Alternative Job Titles