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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CDL-A Flatbed Truck Driver (Commercial Driver's License Class A Flatbed Truck Driver)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“CDL-A Flatbed Truck Driver (Commercial Driver's License Class A Flatbed Truck Driver)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“CDL-A Flatbed Truck Driver (Commercial Driver's License Class A Flatbed Truck Driver)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

Technologies & Software

  • Inventory tracking software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • Mobileye AI
  • YouTube
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • 3M Post-it App
  • TruckersHelper
  • Evernote
  • Gatik AI
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Eko
  • SAP software
  • PeopleNet
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Windows
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Microsoft Word
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Scanners
  • Two way radios
  • Handtrucks
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Air compressors
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Wheel loaders
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Tilt trailers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Boom trucks
  • Winches
  • Front load dumpsters
  • On-board computers
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Handlifts
  • Notebook computers
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Forklifts
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Manual lifts
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Pup trailers
  • Johnson bars
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Cargo hoists
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Plow attachments
  • Dump trucks
  • Cell phones
  • Three-point hitches
  • Personal digital assistants PDA

Alternative Job Titles