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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Semi-Truck Driver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Semi-Truck Driver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Semi-Truck Driver” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • TruckersHelper
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • Mobileye AI
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Gatik AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Eko
  • SAP software
  • Evernote
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Inventory tracking software
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Microsoft Excel
  • PeopleNet
  • Microsoft Office software
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • YouTube
  • Microsoft Windows
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Manual lifts
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Cargo hoists
  • On-board computers
  • Plow attachments
  • Dump trucks
  • Air compressors
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Winches
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Boom trucks
  • Scanners
  • Cell phones
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Handlifts
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Wheel loaders
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Forklifts
  • Tilt trailers
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Two way radios
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Handtrucks
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Three-point hitches
  • Pup trailers
  • Notebook computers
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Johnson bars
  • Lowboy trailers

Alternative Job Titles