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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “OTR Truck Driver (Over the Road Truck Driver)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“OTR Truck Driver (Over the Road Truck Driver)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“OTR Truck Driver (Over the Road Truck Driver)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

Technologies & Software

  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gatik AI
  • Inventory tracking software
  • YouTube
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Microsoft Word
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Eko
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Microsoft Office software
  • PeopleNet
  • TruckersHelper
  • Mobileye AI
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • SAP software
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • Evernote
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Pup trailers
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Air compressors
  • Cargo hoists
  • Tilt trailers
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Lowboy trailers
  • On-board computers
  • Winches
  • Cell phones
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Forklifts
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Two way radios
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Handlifts
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Three-point hitches
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Wheel loaders
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Dump trucks
  • Johnson bars
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Plow attachments
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Boom trucks
  • Handtrucks
  • Notebook computers
  • Scanners
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Manual lifts

Alternative Job Titles