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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “OTR Truck Driver (Over the Road Truck Driver)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“OTR Truck Driver (Over the Road Truck Driver)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“OTR Truck Driver (Over the Road Truck Driver)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

Technologies & Software

  • Evernote
  • Eko
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • TruckersHelper
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • SAP software
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • Gatik AI
  • PeopleNet
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Excel
  • YouTube
  • Mobileye AI
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Inventory tracking software
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Pup trailers
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Handlifts
  • Cargo hoists
  • Air compressors
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Manual lifts
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Tilt trailers
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Notebook computers
  • Handtrucks
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Plow attachments
  • Forklifts
  • Boom trucks
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Dump trucks
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Winches
  • Wheel loaders
  • On-board computers
  • Three-point hitches
  • Cell phones
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Two way radios
  • Scanners
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Johnson bars

Alternative Job Titles