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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Long Haul Truck Driver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Long Haul Truck Driver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Long Haul Truck Driver” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

Technologies & Software

  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Inventory tracking software
  • Eko
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • PeopleNet
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gatik AI
  • YouTube
  • Evernote
  • SAP software
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • Microsoft Word
  • TruckersHelper
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Johnson bars
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Manual lifts
  • On-board computers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Cargo hoists
  • Boom trucks
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Dump trucks
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Cell phones
  • Notebook computers
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Scanners
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Handtrucks
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Winches
  • Tilt trailers
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Air compressors
  • Plow attachments
  • Pup trailers
  • Wheel loaders
  • Handlifts
  • Two way radios
  • Forklifts
  • Three-point hitches

Alternative Job Titles