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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Truck Driver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Truck Driver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Truck Driver” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

Technologies & Software

  • PeopleNet
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • YouTube
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Evernote
  • Mobileye AI
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Microsoft Windows
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Eko
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Inventory tracking software
  • SAP software
  • TruckersHelper
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Winches
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Air compressors
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Boom trucks
  • Notebook computers
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Plow attachments
  • Wheel loaders
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Forklifts
  • Two way radios
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Three-point hitches
  • Pup trailers
  • On-board computers
  • Cell phones
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Handlifts
  • Handtrucks
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Tilt trailers
  • Cargo hoists
  • Dump trucks
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Johnson bars
  • Scanners
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Manual lifts

Alternative Job Titles