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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Semi Truck Driver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Semi Truck Driver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Semi Truck Driver” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

Technologies & Software

  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • YouTube
  • Eko
  • Inventory tracking software
  • SAP software
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Gatik AI
  • PeopleNet
  • Mobileye AI
  • TruckersHelper
  • Evernote
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Three-point hitches
  • On-board computers
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Handlifts
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Notebook computers
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Cargo hoists
  • Johnson bars
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Winches
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Scanners
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Wheel loaders
  • Cell phones
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Manual lifts
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Plow attachments
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Handtrucks
  • Forklifts
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Pup trailers
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Two way radios
  • Boom trucks
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Tilt trailers
  • Dump trucks
  • Air compressors

Alternative Job Titles