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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Trucker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Trucker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Trucker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

Technologies & Software

  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Gatik AI
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Inventory tracking software
  • YouTube
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • Eko
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • PeopleNet
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Evernote
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • TruckersHelper
  • Microsoft Windows
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Microsoft Word
  • Notebook computers
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Three-point hitches
  • Boom trucks
  • Handlifts
  • Scanners
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Forklifts
  • Dump trucks
  • Johnson bars
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Air compressors
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Manual lifts
  • Cargo hoists
  • Wheel loaders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Front load dumpsters
  • On-board computers
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Cell phones
  • Pup trailers
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Winches
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Handtrucks
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Tilt trailers
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Plow attachments
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Two way radios

Alternative Job Titles