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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Van Driver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Van Driver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Van Driver” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Inventory tracking software
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Mobileye AI
  • YouTube
  • PeopleNet
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • TruckersHelper
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Microsoft Windows
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Microsoft Word
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Eko
  • Evernote
  • Gatik AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Two way radios
  • Boom trucks
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Scanners
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Tilt trailers
  • Dump trucks
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Pup trailers
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Manual lifts
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Cell phones
  • Notebook computers
  • Winches
  • Forklifts
  • Plow attachments
  • Air compressors
  • Cargo hoists
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Johnson bars
  • Handtrucks
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Wheel loaders
  • On-board computers
  • Three-point hitches
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Handlifts

Alternative Job Titles