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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Van Driver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Van Driver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Van Driver” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

Technologies & Software

  • SAP software
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Evernote
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Microsoft Windows
  • 3M Post-it App
  • YouTube
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Eko
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Inventory tracking software
  • Mobileye AI
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gatik AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • TruckersHelper
  • PeopleNet
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • Cargo hoists
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Three-point hitches
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Scanners
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Notebook computers
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Pup trailers
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Plow attachments
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Manual lifts
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Forklifts
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Air compressors
  • On-board computers
  • Dump trucks
  • Tilt trailers
  • Winches
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Two way radios
  • Johnson bars
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Handlifts
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Boom trucks
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Cell phones
  • Handtrucks
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Wheel loaders

Alternative Job Titles