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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Local CDL-A Truck Driver (Local Commercial Driver's License Class A Truck Driver)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Local CDL-A Truck Driver (Local Commercial Driver's License Class A Truck Driver)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Local CDL-A Truck Driver (Local Commercial Driver's License Class A Truck Driver)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • PeopleNet
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Mobileye AI
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Eko
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Inventory tracking software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • YouTube
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • TruckersHelper
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Evernote
  • 3M Post-it App
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Gatik AI
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • SAP software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Winches
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Notebook computers
  • Dump trucks
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Handtrucks
  • Boom trucks
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Wheel loaders
  • Plow attachments
  • Two way radios
  • Lowboy trailers
  • On-board computers
  • Tilt trailers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Air compressors
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Forklifts
  • Three-point hitches
  • Manual lifts
  • Cell phones
  • Scanners
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Johnson bars
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Electric handtrucks
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Handlifts
  • Pup trailers
  • Cargo hoists

Alternative Job Titles