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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CDL-B Truck Driver (Commercial Driver's License Class B Truck Driver)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“CDL-B Truck Driver (Commercial Driver's License Class B Truck Driver)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“CDL-B Truck Driver (Commercial Driver's License Class B Truck Driver)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Eko
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • Evernote
  • Inventory tracking software
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • 3M Post-it App
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • YouTube
  • SAP software
  • PeopleNet
  • TruckersHelper
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gatik AI
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Handlifts
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Notebook computers
  • Boom trucks
  • Scanners
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Pup trailers
  • Manual lifts
  • Winches
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Air compressors
  • Johnson bars
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Cargo hoists
  • Wheel loaders
  • Dump trucks
  • Cell phones
  • Three-point hitches
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Forklifts
  • Plow attachments
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Handtrucks
  • On-board computers
  • Two way radios
  • Tilt trailers
  • Sliding fifth wheels

Alternative Job Titles