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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Over the Road Driver (OTR Driver)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Over the Road Driver (OTR Driver)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Over the Road Driver (OTR Driver)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

Technologies & Software

  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • SAP software
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • TruckersHelper
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Evernote
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • YouTube
  • Mobileye AI
  • Eko
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Gatik AI
  • Inventory tracking software
  • Microsoft Word
  • PeopleNet
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Cargo hoists
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Boom trucks
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Handtrucks
  • Manual lifts
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Wheel loaders
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Johnson bars
  • Plow attachments
  • Notebook computers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Winches
  • Three-point hitches
  • Cell phones
  • Two way radios
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • On-board computers
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Tilt trailers
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Handlifts
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Air compressors
  • Scanners
  • Forklifts
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Dump trucks
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Pup trailers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA

Alternative Job Titles