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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Road Driver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Road Driver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Road Driver” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

Technologies & Software

  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • PeopleNet
  • Microsoft Office software
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Inventory tracking software
  • YouTube
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Mobileye AI
  • Gatik AI
  • TruckersHelper
  • Eko
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • 3M Post-it App
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Evernote
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Air compressors
  • Cell phones
  • Forklifts
  • Three-point hitches
  • Manual lifts
  • Cargo hoists
  • Boom trucks
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Dump trucks
  • Tilt trailers
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Two way radios
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Winches
  • Johnson bars
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Scanners
  • On-board computers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Pup trailers
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Notebook computers
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Plow attachments
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Wheel loaders
  • Handtrucks
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Handlifts

Alternative Job Titles