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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Road Driver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Road Driver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Road Driver” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

Technologies & Software

  • YouTube
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • SAP software
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Evernote
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • TruckersHelper
  • Eko
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Inventory tracking software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • PeopleNet
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Three-point hitches
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Boom trucks
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Manual lifts
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Winches
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Notebook computers
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Cargo hoists
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Plow attachments
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • On-board computers
  • Scanners
  • Handtrucks
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Forklifts
  • Dump trucks
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Handlifts
  • Johnson bars
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Cell phones
  • Tilt trailers
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Pup trailers
  • Two way radios
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Air compressors
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Wheel loaders

Alternative Job Titles