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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Garbage Truck Driver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Garbage Truck Driver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Garbage Truck Driver” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

Technologies & Software

  • Inventory tracking software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Evernote
  • TruckersHelper
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • SAP software
  • YouTube
  • PeopleNet
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Eko
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Mobileye AI
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Air compressors
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Pup trailers
  • Notebook computers
  • Plow attachments
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Tilt trailers
  • Manual lifts
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Two way radios
  • Dump trucks
  • Handlifts
  • Boom trucks
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Three-point hitches
  • On-board computers
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Scanners
  • Winches
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Cargo hoists
  • Johnson bars
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Forklifts
  • Handtrucks
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Wheel loaders
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Cell phones
  • Handheld bar code scanners

Alternative Job Titles