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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “OTR CDL-A Truck Driver (Over the Road Commercial Driver's License Class A Truck Driver)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“OTR CDL-A Truck Driver (Over the Road Commercial Driver's License Class A Truck Driver)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“OTR CDL-A Truck Driver (Over the Road Commercial Driver's License Class A Truck Driver)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

Technologies & Software

  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • TruckersHelper
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Inventory tracking software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Microsoft Word
  • YouTube
  • Eko
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • Evernote
  • PeopleNet
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Manual lifts
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Cell phones
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Three-point hitches
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Dump trucks
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Forklifts
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Air compressors
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Johnson bars
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Plow attachments
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Scanners
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Cargo hoists
  • Two way radios
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Winches
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Wheel loaders
  • Handlifts
  • Tilt trailers
  • Notebook computers
  • Handtrucks
  • Pup trailers
  • Boom trucks
  • Front load dumpsters
  • On-board computers
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Refuse collection trucks

Alternative Job Titles