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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Driver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“Driver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Driver” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Eko
  • YouTube
  • SAP software
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • PeopleNet
  • Microsoft Word
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • Mobileye AI
  • Inventory tracking software
  • Evernote
  • TruckersHelper
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Winches
  • Two way radios
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Notebook computers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Cargo hoists
  • Forklifts
  • Tilt trailers
  • Plow attachments
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Manual lifts
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Johnson bars
  • Boom trucks
  • Wheel loaders
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • On-board computers
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Air compressors
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Cell phones
  • Pup trailers
  • Handtrucks
  • Dump trucks
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Handlifts
  • Three-point hitches
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Scanners

Alternative Job Titles