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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mail Delivery Driver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Mail Delivery Driver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“Mail Delivery Driver” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

Technologies & Software

  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • Grammarly AI
  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • Zapier AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Napkin AI
  • Notion AI
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • End of Run Report EOR
  • Word processing software
  • Address Management System AMS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Otter.ai
  • Delivery unit computers
  • Mail sorting trays
  • Small trucks
  • Portable barcode scanners
  • Route cases
  • Handheld computers
  • Passenger vehicles
  • Wheeled carts
  • Mail relay boxes
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Time clocks
  • Postal vehicle tire chains