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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Force Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Air Force Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Air Force Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

Technologies & Software

  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • DeepSeek
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Microsoft Excel
  • AeroPlanner
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • IFT-Pro
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Navzilla
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • R
  • Microsoft Word
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Autopilot systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Desktop computers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Control wheels
  • Rudder pedals
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Fuel control systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Data load selectors
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Flight database systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Brake management systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Autobrakes
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Point plotters