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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Force Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Air Force Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Air Force Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Outlook
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Gemini (Google)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Gatik AI
  • Navzilla
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • IFT-Pro
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Microsoft Word
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • R
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Flaps control levers
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Electric trim switches
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Brake pedals
  • Autobrakes
  • Point plotters
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Brake management systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Desktop computers
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Pressurization control systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Rudder pedals
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Flight database systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Fuel control systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Control wheels