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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Fighter Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Fighter Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Fighter Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

Technologies & Software

  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Navzilla
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Gatik AI
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Word
  • DeepSeek
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • IFT-Pro
  • R
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mobileye AI
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Control wheels
  • Rudder pedals
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Point plotters
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Brake pedals
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Electric trim switches
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Desktop computers
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Autopilot systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Brake management systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Flaps control levers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Flight database systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Global positioning system GPS devices