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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airbus Captain” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airbus Captain” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airbus Captain” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

Technologies & Software

  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • DeepSeek
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • AeroPlanner
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Microsoft Word
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • R
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Mobileye AI
  • Gatik AI
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Navzilla
  • Gemini (Google)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • IFT-Pro
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Brake pedals
  • Autobrakes
  • Rudder pedals
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Point plotters
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Fuel control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Electric trim switches
  • Autopilot systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Pneumatics systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Control display units CDU
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Flaps control levers
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Notebook computers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Control wheels
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Brake management systems
  • Flight database systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA