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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airbus Captain” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airbus Captain” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airbus Captain” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

Technologies & Software

  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • DeepSeek
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Llama (Meta)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Gatik AI
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • IFT-Pro
  • Navzilla
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • AeroPlanner
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • R
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Data load selectors
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Point plotters
  • Autobrakes
  • Autopilot systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Flaps control levers
  • Desktop computers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Flight database systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Brake pedals
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Control display units CDU
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Brake management systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Control wheels
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Electric trim switches
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • On-board intercom systems