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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airbus Captain” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airbus Captain” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airbus Captain” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Navzilla
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Microsoft Excel
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • R
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • DeepSeek
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Microsoft Visio
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Gemini (Google)
  • AeroPlanner
  • IFT-Pro
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Flight database systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Autopilot systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Electric trim switches
  • Autobrakes
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Control wheels
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Data load selectors
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Brake management systems
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Desktop computers
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Flaps control levers
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Emergency life rafts
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Point plotters
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Notebook computers
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Fuel control systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders