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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Aircraft Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Aircraft Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Aircraft Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

Technologies & Software

  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Mobileye AI
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • IFT-Pro
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Navzilla
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • R
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Flight database systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Flaps control levers
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Rudder pedals
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Autopilot systems
  • Control wheels
  • Brake pedals
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Brake management systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Data load selectors
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Point plotters
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS