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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airplane Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

Technologies & Software

  • Navzilla
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • R
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Gatik AI
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • DeepSeek
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Grok (xAI)
  • IFT-Pro
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Data load selectors
  • Point plotters
  • Flaps control levers
  • Autopilot systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Autobrakes
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Flight database systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Brake management systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Control wheels
  • Electric trim switches
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Desktop computers
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems