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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airplane Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

Technologies & Software

  • R
  • Microsoft Office software
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Gatik AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Navzilla
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Word
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • DeepSeek
  • AeroPlanner
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gemini (Google)
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • IFT-Pro
  • Microsoft Excel
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Pressurization control systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Point plotters
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Brake pedals
  • Fuel control systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Data load selectors
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Control wheels
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Electric trim switches
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Flight database systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Autobrakes
  • Rudder pedals
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Brake management systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Control display units CDU
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Engine anti-ice systems