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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airplane Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

Technologies & Software

  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • R
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • IFT-Pro
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gatik AI
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Microsoft Word
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Microsoft Visio
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Navzilla
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • DeepSeek
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Point plotters
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Flight database systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Rudder pedals
  • Flaps control levers
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Control display units CDU
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Brake management systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Data load selectors
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Electric trim switches
  • Autobrakes
  • Control wheels