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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airplane Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

Technologies & Software

  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Gatik AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Grok (xAI)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Mobileye AI
  • IFT-Pro
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • R
  • Microsoft Word
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Navzilla
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Data load selectors
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Flight database systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Control display units CDU
  • Point plotters
  • Autobrakes
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Electric trim switches
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Control wheels
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Brake management systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Brake pedals
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Notebook computers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Pneumatics systems