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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Copilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Copilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Copilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Navzilla
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • AeroPlanner
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • R
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • IFT-Pro
  • Llama (Meta)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Gatik AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • DeepSeek
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Flight database systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Control wheels
  • Brake management systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Desktop computers
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Brake pedals
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Notebook computers
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Point plotters
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Electric trim switches
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators