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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Copilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Copilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Copilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

Technologies & Software

  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mobileye AI
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • IFT-Pro
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Navzilla
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • R
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • DeepSeek
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • AeroPlanner
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gatik AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Control display units CDU
  • Electric trim switches
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Control wheels
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Rudder pedals
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Data load selectors
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Autobrakes
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Flight database systems
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Brake management systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Notebook computers
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Desktop computers
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Point plotters
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Hydraulic control systems