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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Copilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Copilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Copilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

Technologies & Software

  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Navzilla
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • R
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • IFT-Pro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Mobileye AI
  • AeroPlanner
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Pressurization control systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Control display units CDU
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Point plotters
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Flight database systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Brake pedals
  • Autopilot systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Notebook computers
  • Brake management systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Rudder pedals
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Control wheels