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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airline Transport Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airline Transport Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airline Transport Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

Technologies & Software

  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gatik AI
  • Mobileye AI
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • R
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Office software
  • IFT-Pro
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Navzilla
  • AeroPlanner
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Llama (Meta)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Brake pedals
  • Control display units CDU
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Brake management systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Notebook computers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Point plotters
  • Electric trim switches
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Data load selectors
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Flight database systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Flaps control levers
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Desktop computers
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Control wheels
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Yaw damper systems