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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airline Transport Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airline Transport Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airline Transport Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

Technologies & Software

  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • R
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • IFT-Pro
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Navzilla
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Microsoft Visio
  • AeroPlanner
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Microsoft Excel
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • DeepSeek
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Rudder pedals
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Desktop computers
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Autopilot systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Point plotters
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Notebook computers
  • Brake pedals
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Brake management systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Fuel control systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Flight database systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Data load selectors
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Control wheels
  • Control display units CDU
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems