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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

Technologies & Software

  • Nova (Amazon)
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Microsoft Word
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • R
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • AeroPlanner
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • IFT-Pro
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gatik AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • DeepSeek
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Navzilla
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Desktop computers
  • Flaps control levers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Autopilot systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Notebook computers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Point plotters
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Control wheels
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Brake management systems
  • Flight database systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Rudder pedals
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers