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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

Technologies & Software

  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • R
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Navzilla
  • IFT-Pro
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • AeroPlanner
  • Gatik AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • DeepSeek
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Autobrakes
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Electric trim switches
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Autopilot systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Notebook computers
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Flight database systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Brake management systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Point plotters
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Control wheels
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS