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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

Technologies & Software

  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Grok (xAI)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Navzilla
  • IFT-Pro
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Microsoft Office software
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Word
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • R
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gatik AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Mobileye AI
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Flaps control levers
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Point plotters
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Electric trim switches
  • Brake pedals
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Control wheels
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Flight database systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Brake management systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Notebook computers
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Desktop computers
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems