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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Airline Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Commercial Airline Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Commercial Airline Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

Technologies & Software

  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • IFT-Pro
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Mobileye AI
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • DeepSeek
  • AeroPlanner
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • R
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gatik AI
  • Navzilla
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Notebook computers
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Control display units CDU
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Control wheels
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Brake management systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Flaps control levers
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Flight database systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Point plotters
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Desktop computers
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers