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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Airline Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Commercial Airline Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Commercial Airline Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

Technologies & Software

  • R
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • IFT-Pro
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Visio
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Gatik AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Navzilla
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Office software
  • AeroPlanner
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Flight database systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Flaps control levers
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Desktop computers
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Fuel control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Brake pedals
  • Brake management systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Data load selectors
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Autopilot systems
  • Control wheels
  • Autobrakes
  • Point plotters
  • Electric trim switches