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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Co-Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Co-Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Co-Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

Technologies & Software

  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Gatik AI
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • AeroPlanner
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Mobileye AI
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • IFT-Pro
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Navzilla
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Grok (xAI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Llama (Meta)
  • R
  • Rudder pedals
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Autopilot systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Control wheels
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Flaps control levers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Control display units CDU
  • Fuel control systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Brake pedals
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Autobrakes
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Point plotters
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Notebook computers
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Flight database systems
  • Brake management systems