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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Co-Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Co-Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Co-Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

Technologies & Software

  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Microsoft Word
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Microsoft Office software
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • IFT-Pro
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • DeepSeek
  • Navzilla
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • AeroPlanner
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Gatik AI
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • R
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Point plotters
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Electric trim switches
  • Data load selectors
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Fuel control systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Autobrakes
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Control display units CDU
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Flight database systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Rudder pedals
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Control wheels
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Brake management systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI