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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Co-Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Co-Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Co-Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • IFT-Pro
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • AeroPlanner
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Gatik AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • DeepSeek
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Navzilla
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • R
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Visio
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Flaps control levers
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Flight database systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Notebook computers
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Desktop computers
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Control wheels
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Fuel control systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Autobrakes
  • Brake management systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Point plotters